Friday, June 27, 2014

Tropical Development Possible Near Carolinas, Florida Next Week

By , Expert Senior Meteorologist
June 27,2014; 9:10PM,EDT
 
A disturbance drifting into Atlantic waters off the Carolina coast this weekend has the potential to develop into a weak tropical system during the week of Independence Day.
AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski stated in a recent interview that this would be an area to watch as June comes to a close and July begins.
"If the center of low pressure spends enough time off the Atlantic coast and wind shear diminishes, it could evolve into an organized tropical system," Kottlowski said.

Wind shear occurs when air in the tropics blows from the west at high speeds over the middle layers of the atmosphere. These winds can prevent tropical systems from forming, limit intensification, or lead their demise.
Sea surface temperatures in this area generally range from 75 to 80 F and are warm enough to support a tropical system.
This area of disturbed weather, tropical or not, is projected to meander over the East Coast waters of the Carolinas and Florida this weekend and into early next week due to light steering winds.
The disturbance will contribute to locally drenching showers and thunderstorms over the Carolinas for a time as it wraps moisture around from the Atlantic.

"The storms could impact travel and outdoor activities as they have the potential to bring blinding downpours, flash flooding and locally gusty winds," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said.
There is a chance that the low pressure center drifts closer to the coast during the middle and latter part of next week.
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"Because of the uncertain track and proximity to land, interests along the east coast of Florida, northward to the mid-Atlantic coast will need to be monitored, as this system evolves next week," Kottlowski said.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, conditions do not favor development.
"Vast areas of strong wind shear, dry air and dust cover much of the southern North Atlantic and will inhibit development into next week," Kottlowski said.
In the Eastern Pacific, development of a significant tropical system is likely later this weekend into next week.

"The storms could impact travel and outdoor activities as they have the potential to bring blinding downpours, flash flooding and locally gusty winds," Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said.
Steering winds in this area will either direct any system to the northwest or possibly on a more northerly track. The latter track would have more direct impact on the west coast of Mexico.

On Social Media
Dave Williams
LCWxDave
We'll have to watch the area of disturbed wx over SC for tropical development once it hits the Atlantic. #chswx #scwx nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
Eric Webb
webberweather
Even if the low near Carolina coast develops by early next week, analog storms in El Nino yrs suggest this system would likely go out to sea
chris farrell
ChrisFarrellcbs
Tropical Weather: area near Carolina coast has 20% development chance next week. CBS 12 News LIVE now. @cbs12am pic.twitter.com/7wLu5Mkjaj
Adrian Linares
Adriansweather
Possible tropical development close to Southeast US this weekend as disturbed wx hits the Atlantic. pic.twitter.com/m8moXim7Mg
Weather on Potomac
PotomacWx
Tropical concerns rise next week with more potential Pacific and even Atlantic development. Stay tuned throughout the weekend right here.
Cuttin Up Radio
CuttinUpRadio
Stay ALERT to the WATERS to our friends in #Florida #Carolinas 4th of July could become very interesting in the... fb.me/1U41JEEqY
HurricaneTracker App
hurrtrackerapp
Brand new EURO run just out shows development SUN/MON as well off the GA coast. #tropics #atlantic pic.twitter.com/OEqHZaFGmL
 
 
 

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